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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2014-12-20T00:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-12-20T00:48Z
CME Note: associated to the X1.8 flare with peak time 2014-12-20T00:24Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending. Another shock was observed on 2014-12-23T10:33Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-22T14:28Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-12-22T13:45Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.33333
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: -2.67 hour(s)
Difference: 0.72 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2014-12-22T17:08Z
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